Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.035273 0.038081 0.041026 0.044350 0.048003 0.051901 0.056381
2025-03-23 0.030399 0.034312 0.038642 0.043806 0.049822 0.056636 0.064977
2025-03-30 0.027148 0.031672 0.036881 0.043360 0.051256 0.060630 0.072701
2025-04-06 0.024503 0.029338 0.035084 0.042476 0.051818 0.063348 0.078835
2025-04-13 0.023039 0.028221 0.034554 0.042947 0.053912 0.067931 0.087509
2025-04-20 0.021624 0.027010 0.033752 0.042924 0.055257 0.071529 0.095064
2025-04-27 0.020652 0.026265 0.033447 0.043459 0.057293 0.076096 0.104224
2025-05-04 0.019516 0.025210 0.032639 0.043220 0.058196 0.079101 0.111338
2025-05-11 0.018544 0.024302 0.031949 0.043060 0.059146 0.082172 0.118726
2025-05-18 0.017641 0.023426 0.031237 0.042795 0.059886 0.084934 0.125810
2025-05-25 0.016883 0.022701 0.030679 0.042694 0.060825 0.088013 0.133586
2025-06-01 0.016017 0.021776 0.029782 0.042028 0.060847 0.089652 0.139131
2025-06-08 0.015154 0.020818 0.028798 0.041187 0.060561 0.090813 0.144030
2025-06-15 0.014483 0.020105 0.028131 0.040782 0.060916 0.093001 0.150842
2025-06-22 0.013869 0.019445 0.027505 0.040394 0.061258 0.095165 0.157766
2025-06-29 0.013190 0.018656 0.026646 0.039586 0.060855 0.096038 0.162414
2025-07-06 0.012879 0.018402 0.026578 0.040021 0.062509 0.100492 0.174011
2025-07-13 0.012476 0.017988 0.026243 0.039999 0.063385 0.103641 0.183416
2025-07-20 0.012220 0.017788 0.026227 0.040491 0.065156 0.108481 0.196538
2025-07-27 0.011817 0.017340 0.025800 0.040271 0.065667 0.111063 0.205392
2025-08-03 0.011454 0.016940 0.025429 0.040124 0.066288 0.113878 0.214970
2025-08-10 0.011091 0.016526 0.025016 0.039881 0.066715 0.116341 0.224030
2025-08-17 0.010779 0.016182 0.024702 0.039789 0.067405 0.119346 0.234530